»
S
I
D
E
B
A
R
«
10 things an investor will want to know before investing in your chocolate business
Mar 24th, 2010 by philhill
Would you invest in these guys?

Would you invest in these guys?

A friend of mine has just shown me some packaging designs for a new chocolate product she is developing: it’s actually healthy for you, the more you eat, the better you feel and the better it is for you. Sounds pretty cool (i haven’t had a sample yet!). She asked me “is this business invest-able?”. Well, the answer involves the usual suspects when it comes to this type of thing. It doesnt matter whether you’re talking chocolate or tennis balls, the same principles apply.

Here are the ten questions an investor will want answered:

  • Do you have sales and distribution (e.g. orders in hand from a big retailer or predictable and scalable sales direct to consumers – like online)?
  • Show me evidence that people love your chocolates and why?
  • How am I going to make money out of the deal (sale of the company, return on investment etc)?
  • What’s the competition like and what makes you different?
  • What’s stops someone else copying you and killing your market?
  • What’s the management team like – I’ll back the horse, not the jockey?
  • How much money do you need now i.e. i want to make sure that my money is safe and you don’t run out of cash quickly so I lose my investment?
  • How much money do you need to be profitable?
  • (helps but not essential) = i’ve gotta love chocolate i.e. i just love your product personally?
  • How many Umpa Lumpas do you have on staff?

10th anniversary of the end of the dotcom boom
Mar 12th, 2010 by philhill
What do you think about the Tech Bubble high?

Goodbye stock price, goodbye heady days

Happy birthday tech bubble high, you’re 10 today. Remember the heady days, when the only way was up. It was the beginning of the new millennium and my partners and i had just sold our business, Netzip, to to RealNetworks: all was rosy. Real’s stock price was riding the crest at $81.63 and all the chatter was how it would hit $150 in 12 months. The purchase was a stock deal and what an investment it was set to be. Fast forward 365 days to March 2001…stock price = $6.94 !!!! Ooooppps.

On 10 March 2000, the Nasdaq index of leading technology shares spiked, after that prices fell.

It was a boom that saw stock markets soar, as a whole new generation of companies focussed on the internet attracted a wave of investors’ money.

As the euphoria took hold, some people even quit their jobs to become full-time share traders.

Others claimed that the internet had done away with calculations based on the “old economy” – but the boom turned out to be a classic speculative share bubble like any other.

(compliments of the BBC )

Downsizing our kids’ future doesnt make business sense
Mar 8th, 2010 by philhill
What we are doing to ours kids education

What we are doing to our kids' education

So, I’m not the overtly political type. In fact, my wife often gets frustrated because I voice views that sit both sides of the party fence and in her opinion I should be neatly standing within the confines of a single political party. From this stance, you can consider me a lost ‘pigeon’ looking for a ‘hole’ (between you and me, i have no desire to find one).  Now that we’ve got that out the way, I can begin.

Reading an article this morning about how school districts are increasingly looking at moving to a four day school week to save money was incredibly disturbing to me. Doesn’t this set alarm bells ringing with you? OK, some argue that time is made up by lengthening the school day to compensate but this is not the point. The point is that bit by bit we are eroding our kids’ future by continually chipping away at what we invest in them. We shouldn’t be coming up with justification as to why it’s OK to reduce their education, we should be engaged in conversation about how we are spending more on their futures. I view many things in life like running a business and this is no different. We are disinvesting in an asset – our kids – at a time when we should be investing. In corporate speak, we are laying kids off, making them redundant; we are downsizing their future.

Let’s give some context to this situation. This is where i want to avoid being political and keep things to an economic debate. I’m not trying to have a discussion about whether we should or shouldn’t have gone to war in Iraq, I’ll leave that to others. I’m using Iraq as data point. So, let’s lay out the facts.

The government has just committed to plow $4 billion into education to help fix things. Given there are about 50 million school kids in the U.S., that equates to an investment of $87 per child. Now for a comparison: The total amount spent and committed to the Iraq war so far is $900 billion. If that money had been directed into education instead, it would equate to an investment of $18,000 per child.

Some other tidbits…

  • Amount of spend per child on U.S. kids from Obama’s new education initiative is $87 ($4bn  / 50m = $87 )
  • Amount of spend per child on U.S. kids if the all the Iraq war spend had been directed to education is $1,800 ($900bn / 50m = $1,800)
  • 10 billion is the number of kids that could be educated if we took the Iraq money and spent $87 on each of these kids ( i.e. it assumes the same level of additional investment currently being made by the government on U.S. kids).
  • Given there are only 560m school age kids in the world*, we could reach FIVE planet earth’s with the Iraq money ($900bn / $87 = 10bn kids)
  • $1,607 is the the amount that could be spent on EVERY school kid in the world if the Iraq budget had been redirected into education ($900bn / 250m school kids in the world = $1,607)*
  • The annual total amount spent on U.S. school education is $500bn, so the Iraq money could have educated the entire country for 2 years.
  • The total annual education spend on the 29 top countries in the world is $1.1 trillion. The Iraq money would have educated the entire world for nearly a year (and this excludes virtually all the 3rd world countries).

So, we can preface all these facts and figures with the disclaimer that I am no statistician but they do give an order of magnitude. And yes, this may be info overload, but if you look at all this like a business the ROI in educational terms is dire and the sooner we get our priorities right the better.

*There are 2.2bn children in the world. Remove 28% (ages 1-5), gives the number school age kids in the world = 560m (yes, rough figs).

»  Substance: WordPress   »  Style: Ahren Ahimsa